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Sumudaerji vs Alex Perez | Vertex MMA
Bout· Flyweight · 3 rounds
August 29, 2026 · Shanghai
Vertex Simulation v0.11.0 58% Sumudaerji vs Alex Perez · 42.3%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -8 favors Alex Perez Age gap -4 yr favors Sumudaerji
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Sumudaerji 1.67 model 58% Alex Perez 2.27 model 42%
Method Sumudaerji by KO/TKO5.09 model 18% Sumudaerji by submission6.07 model 15% Sumudaerji by decision3.82 model 24% Alex Perez by KO/TKO10.36 model 9% Alex Perez by submission7.32 model 13% Alex Perez by decision4.48 model 21%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.68 model 55% Under 2.5 2.07 model 45%
Goes the distance Yes 2.06 model 45% No 1.68 model 55%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Reach gap +18 cm
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:49 Most likely: Decision round — (45%)
KO/TKO · 27% · 18/9 Submission · 28% · 15/13 Decision · 45% · 24/21
Sumudaerji / Alex Perez
45%
