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Imanol Rodriguez vs Alden Coria | Vertex MMA
Bout· Flyweight · 3 rounds
October 3, 2026 · Salt Lake City
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 52% Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez · 47.8%
Why the model thinks so Height gap -10 cm favors Alden Coria Age gap -2 yr favors Imanol Rodriguez
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Imanol Rodriguez 2.01 model 48% Alden Coria 1.84 model 52%
Method Imanol Rodriguez by KO/TKO5.20 model 18% Imanol Rodriguez by submission22.29 model 4% Imanol Rodriguez by decision3.58 model 26% Alden Coria by KO/TKO7.35 model 13% Alden Coria by submission6.97 model 13% Alden Coria by decision3.52 model 26%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.53 model 61% Under 2.5 2.35 model 39%
Goes the distance Yes 1.77 model 52% No 1.94 model 48%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Strike accuracy gap +13%
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:48 Most likely: Decision round — (52%)
KO/TKO · 30% · 18/13 Submission · 17% · 4/13 Decision · 52% · 26/26
Imanol Rodriguez / Alden Coria
52%
