Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
Age gap+0 yr
favors Ricky Simon
Career win-rate gap+10%favors Montel Jackson
Strike accuracy gap+12%favors Montel Jackson
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
