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Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino | Vertex MMA
Bout· Heavyweight · 3 rounds
August 22, 2026 · Sacramento
Vertex Simulation v0.11.0 55% Vitor Petrino vs Serghei Spivac · 44.8%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -14 favors Vitor Petrino Age gap +3 yr favors Vitor Petrino
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Serghei Spivac 2.14 model 45% Vitor Petrino 1.74 model 55%
Method Serghei Spivac by KO/TKO7.42 model 12% Serghei Spivac by submission7.77 model 12% Serghei Spivac by decision4.53 model 20% Vitor Petrino by KO/TKO3.71 model 25% Vitor Petrino by submission16.04 model 6% Vitor Petrino by decision3.79 model 24%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.71 model 54% Under 2.5 2.01 model 46%
Goes the distance Yes 2.06 model 45% No 1.68 model 55%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Strikes absorbed gap
+1.47/min
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:38 Most likely: Decision round — (45%)
KO/TKO · 37% · 12/25 Submission · 18% · 12/6 Decision · 45% · 20/24
Serghei Spivac / Vitor Petrino
45%
