Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
Strikes absorbed gap+2.62/min
favors Andrey Pulyaev
Finishing-defense gap-25%favors Damian Pinas
Strike accuracy gap+24%favors Damian Pinas
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.