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Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso | Vertex MMA
Bout· Co-main · Flyweight · 3 rounds
September 12, 2026 · Glendale
Vertex Simulation v0.11.0 66% Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso · 33.7%
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Manon Fiorot 1.45 model 66% Alexa Grasso 2.85 model 34%
Method Manon Fiorot by KO/TKO8.13 model 11% Manon Fiorot by submission6.97 model 13% Manon Fiorot by decision2.22 model 42% Alexa Grasso by KO/TKO10.90 model 8% Alexa Grasso by submission15.32 model 6% Alexa Grasso by decision4.83 model 19%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.33 model 70% Under 2.5 3.05 model 30%
Goes the distance Yes 1.52 model 61% No 2.36 model 39%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 6:27 Most likely: Decision round — (61%)
KO/TKO · 20% · 11/8 Submission · 19% · 13/6 Decision · 61% · 42/19
Manon Fiorot / Alexa Grasso
61%
