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Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Vertex MMA
Bout· Bantamweight · 3 rounds
September 26, 2026 · Las Vegas
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 74% Ailin Perez vs Norma Dumont · 26.5%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -16 favors Ailin Perez Age curve advantage favors Ailin Perez Age gap +4 yr
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Norma Dumont 3.63 model 26% Ailin Perez 1.31 model 74%
Method Norma Dumont by KO/TKO25.00 model 4% Norma Dumont by submission16.28 model 6% Norma Dumont by decision5.41 model 17% Ailin Perez by KO/TKO9.10 model 10% Ailin Perez by submission18.51 model 5% Ailin Perez by decision1.59 model 58%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.15 model 81% Under 2.5 4.76 model 19%
Goes the distance Yes 1.23 model 75% No 3.78 model 25%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Takedown rate gap -3.47/15 favors Ailin Perez LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 6:11 Most likely: Decision round — (75%)
KO/TKO · 14% · 4/10 Submission · 11% · 6/5 Decision · 75% · 17/58
Norma Dumont / Ailin Perez
75%
