Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
Takedown accuracy gap+75%
favors Carlos Prates
Vertex Score gap-8favors Michael Morales
Carlos Prates's all-time Vertex (at fight time)31favors Carlos Prates
A blend of LightGBM, CatBoost and logistic regression trained on historical UFC bouts, published without post-hoc calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
