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Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston | Vertex MMA
Bout· Middleweight · 3 rounds
October 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 54% Cam Rowston vs Abus Magomedov · 46.2%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -19 favors Cam Rowston Age gap +4 yr favors Cam Rowston
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Abus Magomedov 2.08 model 46% Cam Rowston 1.79 model 54%
Method Abus Magomedov by KO/TKO6.00 model 15% Abus Magomedov by submission16.51 model 6% Abus Magomedov by decision3.68 model 25% Cam Rowston by KO/TKO3.82 model 24% Cam Rowston by submission9.54 model 10% Cam Rowston by decision4.67 model 20%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.70 model 54% Under 2.5 2.03 model 46%
Goes the distance Yes 2.06 model 45% No 1.68 model 55%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Age curve advantage
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:36 Most likely: Decision round — (45%)
KO/TKO · 40% · 15/24 Submission · 15% · 6/10 Decision · 45% · 25/20
Abus Magomedov / Cam Rowston
45%