Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
Finishing-defense gap
-15%
favors Brandon Moreno
Striking output gap+1.84/minfavors Brandon Moreno
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.