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Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld | Vertex MMA
Bout· Main event · Lightweight · 5 rounds
August 8, 2026 · Las Vegas
Vertex Simulation v0.11.0 53% Quillan Salkilld vs Mateusz Gamrot · 46.8%
Why the model thinks so Age gap +9 yr favors Quillan Salkilld Vertex Score gap -25 favors Quillan Salkilld
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Mateusz Gamrot 2.05 model 47% Quillan Salkilld 1.81 model 53%
Method Mateusz Gamrot by KO/TKO6.96 model 13% Mateusz Gamrot by submission11.82 model 8% Mateusz Gamrot by decision3.61 model 26% Quillan Salkilld by KO/TKO8.32 model 11% Quillan Salkilld by submission5.87 model 16% Quillan Salkilld by decision3.52 model 26%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.33 model 69% Under 2.5 3.04 model 31%
Goes the distance Yes 1.78 model 52% No 1.93 model 48%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Reach gap
-12 cm
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 8:44 Most likely: Decision round — (52%)
KO/TKO · 24% · 13/11 Submission · 24% · 8/16 Decision · 52% · 26/26
Mateusz Gamrot / Quillan Salkilld
5%
